The Year Ahead: Forces That Will Shape the U.S. Rural Economy in 2023
By Brian Cavey , Brian Earnest , Tanner Ehmke , Rob Fox , Thomas Halverson , Jeff Johnston , Dan Kowalski , Christina Pope , Teri Viswanath and Kenneth Scott Zuckerberg
December 13, 2022
The Russia-Ukraine war, surging inflation, and an energy crisis joined the COVID-19 pandemic this year as major events defining the operating environment for U.S. companies. We can expect to feel the aftershocks in 2023. After posting record high net farm income in 2021 and 2022, margin pressure is coming to agriculture in the coming year. Steeply higher interest rates, escalating production costs, an elevated dollar, and weakening demand have become formidable foes. In addition, a divided government reflecting unique midterm election results will muddy the path of the next farm bill.
U.S. Agricultural Economy
Farm Margins Under Pressure in 2023
Grain, Farm Supply, Biofuels
Outlook for Biofuels is Solid, Less So for Grain and Farm Supply
Meat and Poultry Production to Slow Despite 2022’s Robust Profits
Milk Supplies to Gradually Grow as Demand Base Shifts
- The U.S. Economy: Some Pain is Necessary
- U.S. Government: Unique Midterm Results Muddy Farm Bill’s Path
- Specialty Crops: Drought, Labor Shortages, and Strong U.S. Dollar to Keep Squeezing Specialty Crops
- Rural Electricity: Time to Look Beyond Yesterday’s Energy Crisis Playbook
- Rural Communications: Multiple Crosscurrents Set the Stage for the Rural Communications Market
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